Red Ensign Rising
It looks like the Liberal juggernaut will finally be defeated on Monday, Canada's election day. Despite an hysterical last-ditch effort by an ad-hoc coalition of left-wing interest groups, urging their fellow citizens to "think twice" about voting Conservative, the final polls heading into the weekend were all good news for Stephen Harper.
Here are the "big three" numbers, from the latest polls, conducted Jan. 18-20. For those of you who, for some strange reason, do not share my obsession with Canadian politics, here is a quick guide:
Conservative Party: A moderately conservative party, would probably be considered right around the DLC-led right of the Democratic Party in an American context.
Liberal Party: The best-named party in North America, all liberalism, all the time.
New Democratic Party: Socialist party, would probably feel at home at a British Labour Party conference.
Bloc Quebecois: The federal wing of Quebec separatism.
Green Party: A moderate environmentalist party, with less leftism than you'd think.
Ekos:
Conservatives: 37%
Liberals: 27%
NDP: 20%
Bloc Quebecois: 12%
Greens: 5%
SES:
Conservatives: 36%
Liberals: 29%
NDP: 19%
Bloc Quebecois: 11%
Greens: 6%
Ipsos:
Conservatives: 38%
Liberals: 26%
NDP: 19%
Bloc Quebecois: 11%
Greens: 5%
Those numbers are pretty consistent. We'll see soon enough how right they are.
C-SPAN, an invaluable resource, will be running the CBC's election night coverage here in America beginning at 7pm PST Monday evening. Due to Canadian law on point, no election returns may be reported until that time, which is when the polls close on the west coast.
Funny old world, isn't it? The Iraq War, according to the experts, was supposed to spell disaster for its supporters electorally, and, yet, here we are with Bush, Howard and Blair re-elected and Stephen Harper doing well in Canada, while the Liberals, Chirac and Schroder look increasingly like yesterday's news.
Here are the "big three" numbers, from the latest polls, conducted Jan. 18-20. For those of you who, for some strange reason, do not share my obsession with Canadian politics, here is a quick guide:
Conservative Party: A moderately conservative party, would probably be considered right around the DLC-led right of the Democratic Party in an American context.
Liberal Party: The best-named party in North America, all liberalism, all the time.
New Democratic Party: Socialist party, would probably feel at home at a British Labour Party conference.
Bloc Quebecois: The federal wing of Quebec separatism.
Green Party: A moderate environmentalist party, with less leftism than you'd think.
Ekos:
Conservatives: 37%
Liberals: 27%
NDP: 20%
Bloc Quebecois: 12%
Greens: 5%
SES:
Conservatives: 36%
Liberals: 29%
NDP: 19%
Bloc Quebecois: 11%
Greens: 6%
Ipsos:
Conservatives: 38%
Liberals: 26%
NDP: 19%
Bloc Quebecois: 11%
Greens: 5%
Those numbers are pretty consistent. We'll see soon enough how right they are.
C-SPAN, an invaluable resource, will be running the CBC's election night coverage here in America beginning at 7pm PST Monday evening. Due to Canadian law on point, no election returns may be reported until that time, which is when the polls close on the west coast.
Funny old world, isn't it? The Iraq War, according to the experts, was supposed to spell disaster for its supporters electorally, and, yet, here we are with Bush, Howard and Blair re-elected and Stephen Harper doing well in Canada, while the Liberals, Chirac and Schroder look increasingly like yesterday's news.


